Insights on meat hygiene quality in global trade

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Volume Title

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Nature Research

Abstract

Animal protein trade increase underscores the need for robust sanitary systems in complex global supply chains. We analysed 15,797 microbiological records of enumerated Aerobic plate counts (APC) and generic E. coli from meat consignments at South African ports of entry. Data were log10-transformed and differences by country of origin and product type were tested with one-way ANOVA followed by Tukey’s post-hoc test (P < 0.05). Pearson correlations, statistical process control (SPC) charts, and process capability indices (Cp, Cpk, Cpm) were calculated relative to upper specification limits (APC: 1 × 106 CFU/g; E. coli: 1 × 103 CFU/g). Significant country-level differences in mean APC and E. coli were pronounced in poultry (p < 0.05). Moderate positive correlations between APC and E. coli were observed in poultry (r = 0.50), beef (r = 0.32), turkey (r = 0.27), and pork (r = 0.24), but non-significant in ovine meat (r = 0.06). SPC revealed upstream processes lacking statistical control, with multiple points outside ±3σ limits indicating special-cause variation. Capability was marginal (high Cp but low Cpk/Cpm) with poultry showing better Cpk than beef. APC and E. coli are effective complementary hygiene indicators, particularly for poultry and beef and SPC analysis of port-of-entry data uncovers supply-chain instabilities.

Description

DATA AVAILABILITY : The data that support the findings of this study are available from the authors, but restrictions apply to the availability of these data, which were used under clearance from Department of Agriculture (South Africa) for the current study and so are not publicly available. Data are, however, available from the authors upon reasonable request and with permission from the Department of Agriculture.

Keywords

Aerobic plate counts (APC), Animal protein trade, Global supply chains, International meat trade, Statistical process control (SPC)

Sustainable Development Goals

SDG-02: Zero hunger

Citation

Magwedere, K., Thopil, G.A. Insights on meat hygiene quality in global trade. npj Science of Food 10, 178: 1-14 (2026). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41538-026-00767-x.